Frank Quattrone (1956) is a former investment banker at Credit Suisse First Boston who has been convicted of interfering with a government probe into Credit Suisse First Boston's behavior in allocating hot IPOs. The conviction was later overturned...

Smart Money Bets on Dems

Political contributions are one of the big mysteries in American politics. Why would anyone give to their favored candidate or political party when they could simply free-ride on the donations of others? It’s even more of a mystery than voting, which strikes most political scientists as irrational since the chance of any one vote making a difference is miniscule. Big donors are making an even larger sacrifice than voters, yet the chance of any individual donor’s contribution making a difference is probably just as miniscule.

The most likely answer is that political giving isn’t like voting—whereas voting is anonymous, giving is disclosed. This means political giving can have effects that voting cannot, such as winning favor with politicians receiving the contributions. This, in turn, suggests that giving patterns should differ from voting patterns because the two actions are differently motivated. Voting is a symbolic act whereby voters express a political preference and engage in solidarity with other citizens. You don’t get points for voting for winners or losers (unless it just makes you feel good to have voted for a winner). Giving is a self-serving act—so it makes a lot more sense to give to winners than losers. Think of it this way: voting is like praying or hoping; giving is like betting.

This year it seems that hedge funds and private equity shops are going long on Democrats.


Of the $7.4 million contributed by employees of the 100 largest hedge funds and 50 biggest buyout firms in 2005-06, Democrats received $5 million, Federal Election Commission records show.

That’s a pretty big bias toward Democrats. It seems that the smart, the quick and the agile are betting the Republicans will get smashed soon.

Hedge Funds, Buyout Firms Favor Democrats With Campaign Money
[Bloomberg via WSF]

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Comments

Giving to the dems could just be a good hedge. . . Demopcrats win the race and Big Money funds have a lot more to worry about. So they finance the campaign for protection.
If the GOP wins, they don't need the protection, so why spend the dough?

Huh? Last time I checked Christopher Cox was a Republican, and appointed by a Republican president. I also recall that he sought to force hedge funds to open their books to the SEC. Based on these recent events, it sounds like both sides are interested in regulating the hedge fund business.

BTW, historically, PE guys have leaned more toward Dems during the Clinton years, so it makes sense that they'd swing back to Dems ahead of an election that favors Dems.

Take out the obvious protection/favor seeking money from Eliot and Hillary for a clearer prediction of where this so-called smart money is betting and then get back to us.

Take out the obvious protection/favor seeking money from Eliot and Hillary for a clearer prediction of where this so-called smart money is betting and then get back to us.

I'd have more confidence in the numbers if they'd included money flushed through their wives.

Of course they are betting the trends. Their campaign contributions result in Pension Fund allocations and more wealth. The smart ones donate to both parties and hedge their bets.

Pension Funds are moving to alternatives and these folks want their cut. Donate $10,000 to a politician get a $50 million allocation and $1 million in fee income from the state. Repeat the process.

This is the greatest return on any investment. It is so great that someone should securitize it.